2026 Toronto Mayoral projection
Chow
83%
chance of winning
48.8% of the vote (45–53)
Bradford
17%
chance of winning
44.4% of the vote (40–48)
Projected result
Chance of winning
Range of outcomes
House effects
| Pollster | Polls | Chow | Bradford | Alexander |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaison Strategies | 9 | +0.1 | +0.7 | +1.2 |
| Mainstreet Research | 4 | -2.0 | -0.4 | +1.0 |
| Forum Research | 3 | -1.5 | -2.7 | -0.8 |
| Pallas Data | 1 | +0.7 | +0.8 | -0.7 |
| Ipsos | 1 | +2.7 | -3.5 | -1.6 |
| Canada Pulse Insights | 1 | +0.9 | -1.6 | +0.3 |
| Nanos Research | 1 | +1.9 | +0.4 | -2.2 |
| Scope Research | 1 | +2.2 | +3.0 | — |